Саритас Оздчан
Институт статистических исследований и экономики знаний
Профессиональные интересы
Должности
- Профессор — Институт статистических исследований и экономики знаний, Департамент образовательных программ
Био
- · Начал работать в НИУ ВШЭ в 2010 году.
- · Научно-педагогический стаж: 13 лет.
Образование
- 2006 · PhD: Манчестерский университет, тема диссертации: Systems Thinking for Foresight
- 2000 · Магистратура: Стамбульский технический университет, специальность «Строительство зданий», квалификация «Магистр архитектуры»
- 1998 · Специалитет: Istanbul Teknik Universitesi, специальность «Архитектура»
Опыт работы
- · 2020 г.: с : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Заведующий лабораторией исследований науки и технологий Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2018 г. - 2019 г.: : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Заместитель заведующего лабораторией исследований науки и технологий Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2014 г.: настоящее время: Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Профессор Департамента образовательных программ Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2009 г.: настоящее время: главный редактор международного англоязычного журнала Foresight: The journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy (www.emeraldinsight.com/fs.htm), специализирующегося в области исследований будущего, стратегического прогнозирования и формирования эффективной политики
- · 2012 г. - 2018 г.: : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Ведущий научный сотрудник Лаборатории исследований науки и технологий Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2012 г.: : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Приглашенный лектор-профессор. Основные обязанности: чтение лекций и проведение семинаров в рамках программы повышения квалификации «Теория и практика Форсайт-исследований»; участие в реализуемых университетом проектах в области национального и секторального Форсайта
- · 2003 г.: настоящее время: Институт инновационных исследований Университета Манчестера (г. Манчестер, Великобритания). Научный сотрудник. Основные обязанности: Проведение исследований концепции и методологии Форсайта; руководство и участие в международных и национальных исследовательских проектах; организация международных образовательных программ по Форсайту; чтение лекций и проведение семинаров в рамках образовательных магистерских программ и программ подготовки MBA и PhD, а также курсов повышения квалификации по Форсайту, сценарному планированию, управлению технологиями и устойчивым ростом
- · 1998 г. – 2007 г.: : Стамбульский технический университет. Доцент кафедры управления проектными работами и строительством. Основные обязанности: проведение исследований и чтение лекций по управлению технологиями и инновациями, новым технологическим процессам, разработке новых продуктов и услуг, исследованию и анализу рынка, национальной и региональной политике
- · 2006 г.: : региональный центр Организации объединенных наций по промышленному развитию (ЮНИДО, UNIDO) по технологическому Форсайту в странах Центральной и Восточной Европы и новых независимых государствах (г. Будапешт, Венгрия). Научный сотрудник. Основные обязанности: участие в разработке концепции реализации Программы ЮНИДО по технологическому Форсайту в странах Центральной и Восточной Европы и новых независимых государствах (программа действовала в
- · 2006-2008: гг.); участие в экспертных совещаниях по вопросам реализации программы; разработка бизнес-плана реализации программы
Награды и поощрения
- · Медаль 10 лет (декабрь 2021)
- · Благодарность проректора НИУ ВШЭ (ноябрь 2021)
- · Надбавка за академические достижения и вклад в репутацию НИУ ВШЭ (2020–2022)
- · Надбавка за публикацию в международном рецензируемом научном издании (2019–2021, 2017–2019)
- · Надбавка за регулярные публикации в международных рецензируемых научных изданиях (2023–2028, 2022–2027)
- · Надбавка за статью в зарубежном рецензируемом журнале (2015–2017, 2013–2015)
Идентификаторы исследователя
- ORCID:
0000-0002-1243-0353 - ResearcherID:
A-1891-2014 - SPIN РИНЦ:
4964-7982 - Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.ru/citations?user=reOqbokAAAAJ&hl=ru&oi=ao
- Scopus AuthorID:
6506092892
Публикации (74)
Tech Mining for Emerging STI Trends Through Dynamic Term Clustering and Semantic Analysis: The Case of Photonics
2016 · CHAPTER · en
Tech mining (TM) helps to acquire intelligence about the evolution of research and development (R&D), technologies, products, and markets for various STI areas and what is likely to emerge in the future by identifying trends. The present chapter introduces a methodology for the identification of trends through a combination of “thematic clustering” based on the co-occurrence of terms, and “dynamic term clustering” based on the correlation of their dynamics across time. In this way, it is possible to identify and distinguish four patterns in the evolution of terms, which eventually lead to (i) weak signals of future trends, as well as (ii) emerging, (iii) maturing, and (iv) declining trends. Key trends identified are then further analyzed by looking at the semantic connections between terms identified through TM. This helps to understand the context and further features of the trend. The proposed approach is demonstrated in the field photonics as an emerging technology with a number of potential application areas.
A methodology for technology trend monitoring: the case of semantic technologies
2016 · ARTICLE · en
This paper introduces a systematic technology trend monitoring (TTM) methodology based on an analysis of bibliometric data. Among the key premises for developing a methodology are: (1) the increasing number of data sources addressing different phases of the STI development, and thus requiring a more holistic and integrated analysis; (2) the need for more customized clustering approaches particularly for the purpose of identifying trends; and (3) augmenting the policy impact of trends through gathering future-oriented intelligence on emerging developments and potential disruptive changes. Thus, the TTM methodology developed combines and jointly analyzes different datasets to gain intelligence to cover different phases of the technological evolution starting from the ‘emergence’ of a technology towards ‘supporting’ and ‘solution’ applications and more ‘practical’ business and market-oriented uses. Furthermore, the study presents a new algorithm for data clustering in order to overcome the weaknesses of readily available clusterization tools for the purpose of identifying technology trends. The present study places the TTM activities into a wider policy context to make use of the outcomes for the purpose of Science, Technology and Innovation policy formulation, and R&D strategy making processes. The methodology developed is demonstrated in the domain of “semantic technologies”.
Strategies for emerging research and innovation futures
2016 · ARTICLE · en
This paper aims to present a set of strategic options for Research and Innovation (R&I) stakeholders in the light of new and emerging ways of organising and performing research. Design/methodology/approach: The paper first reviews the evolution of the R&I landscape and identifies the most influential stakeholders engaged in R&I. In the light of the scenarios developed for the year 2030, a set of strategic options are identified and assessed for each stakeholder group. Findings: R&I systems are now more complex than 50 years ago and will be even more in the future. Radical changes are expected in terms of the ways research is funded, organised and carried out. Some of these transformations are captured by the scenarios developed. The analysis of scenarios indicated that their feasibility and desirability differ across different sectors of industry, and research areas within the research landscape. Research limitations/implications: Scenarios and strategies presented in the paper bring new considerations on the way research activities are practiced. Further research is considered to be useful on the new modes of research and implications for academia, industry, society and policy makers. Practical implications: The discussion around the responses of different stakeholders vis-à-vis specific scenarios about the future in R&I practices and organisation gives a practical view about how to deal with associated emerging trends and issues. Social implications: Society is a crucial stakeholder of all R&I activities. The transformative scenarios suggest that society will not only be playing a reactive role on the demand side but also more proactive role on the supply side in the decades to come. Originality/value: The paper is based on work undertaken within the Research and Innovation (RIF) 2030 project. As R&I activities will be important for the development and competitiveness of the EU and its member states, the work presented here is considered to be of value by highlighting how to create more resilient strategies in a fast-changing R&I landscape.
Future of sustainable military operations under emerging energy and security considerations
2016 · ARTICLE · en
Due to limited energy sources and growing concerns about environment, secure, safe and sustainable energy has become one of the Grand Challenges at the global level. Likewise in many other aspects of life, energy is crucial for military forces. In parallel to the changing nature of warfare, the need for energy in military operations has increased dramatically. While energy consumption in the World War II was 1 gal per soldier per day, it was 4 gal per soldier per day during the Desert Storm operation in 1991. Not only the quantity, but also the type of energy required for military operations has changed dramatically. Shifts have been observed from individual man power to machines powered by fuel and electricity. Energy demand and type have changed further through the introduction of more sophisticated devices with new capabilities such as to enable night vision, designate targets with lasers, provide advanced sensing and communication capabilities and reduce human involvement in operations through drones and robotic technologies. Investigating the trends in changing nature of warfare and energy through review, technology mining and scientometrics, the present study develops future scenarios, and a strategic roadmap to identify priority technology areas and strategies for the future military energy R&D.
Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation
2016 · BOOK · en
Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.
Курсы (3)
-
Applied Foresight · 4 раза
2025/2026, 2024/2025, 2023/2024, 2022/2023 · Магистратура / Маго-лего · Анг
-
Foresight Theory and Concepts
2022/2023 · Магистратура · Анг
-
Foresight
2021/2022 · Магистратура · Анг