Саритас Оздчан
Институт статистических исследований и экономики знаний
Профессиональные интересы
Должности
- Профессор — Институт статистических исследований и экономики знаний, Департамент образовательных программ
Био
- · Начал работать в НИУ ВШЭ в 2010 году.
- · Научно-педагогический стаж: 13 лет.
Образование
- 2006 · PhD: Манчестерский университет, тема диссертации: Systems Thinking for Foresight
- 2000 · Магистратура: Стамбульский технический университет, специальность «Строительство зданий», квалификация «Магистр архитектуры»
- 1998 · Специалитет: Istanbul Teknik Universitesi, специальность «Архитектура»
Опыт работы
- · 2020 г.: с : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Заведующий лабораторией исследований науки и технологий Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2018 г. - 2019 г.: : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Заместитель заведующего лабораторией исследований науки и технологий Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2014 г.: настоящее время: Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Профессор Департамента образовательных программ Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2009 г.: настоящее время: главный редактор международного англоязычного журнала Foresight: The journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy (www.emeraldinsight.com/fs.htm), специализирующегося в области исследований будущего, стратегического прогнозирования и формирования эффективной политики
- · 2012 г. - 2018 г.: : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Ведущий научный сотрудник Лаборатории исследований науки и технологий Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний
- · 2012 г.: : Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» (г. Москва, Россия). Приглашенный лектор-профессор. Основные обязанности: чтение лекций и проведение семинаров в рамках программы повышения квалификации «Теория и практика Форсайт-исследований»; участие в реализуемых университетом проектах в области национального и секторального Форсайта
- · 2003 г.: настоящее время: Институт инновационных исследований Университета Манчестера (г. Манчестер, Великобритания). Научный сотрудник. Основные обязанности: Проведение исследований концепции и методологии Форсайта; руководство и участие в международных и национальных исследовательских проектах; организация международных образовательных программ по Форсайту; чтение лекций и проведение семинаров в рамках образовательных магистерских программ и программ подготовки MBA и PhD, а также курсов повышения квалификации по Форсайту, сценарному планированию, управлению технологиями и устойчивым ростом
- · 1998 г. – 2007 г.: : Стамбульский технический университет. Доцент кафедры управления проектными работами и строительством. Основные обязанности: проведение исследований и чтение лекций по управлению технологиями и инновациями, новым технологическим процессам, разработке новых продуктов и услуг, исследованию и анализу рынка, национальной и региональной политике
- · 2006 г.: : региональный центр Организации объединенных наций по промышленному развитию (ЮНИДО, UNIDO) по технологическому Форсайту в странах Центральной и Восточной Европы и новых независимых государствах (г. Будапешт, Венгрия). Научный сотрудник. Основные обязанности: участие в разработке концепции реализации Программы ЮНИДО по технологическому Форсайту в странах Центральной и Восточной Европы и новых независимых государствах (программа действовала в
- · 2006-2008: гг.); участие в экспертных совещаниях по вопросам реализации программы; разработка бизнес-плана реализации программы
Награды и поощрения
- · Медаль 10 лет (декабрь 2021)
- · Благодарность проректора НИУ ВШЭ (ноябрь 2021)
- · Надбавка за академические достижения и вклад в репутацию НИУ ВШЭ (2020–2022)
- · Надбавка за публикацию в международном рецензируемом научном издании (2019–2021, 2017–2019)
- · Надбавка за регулярные публикации в международных рецензируемых научных изданиях (2023–2028, 2022–2027)
- · Надбавка за статью в зарубежном рецензируемом журнале (2015–2017, 2013–2015)
Идентификаторы исследователя
- ORCID:
0000-0002-1243-0353 - ResearcherID:
A-1891-2014 - SPIN РИНЦ:
4964-7982 - Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.ru/citations?user=reOqbokAAAAJ&hl=ru&oi=ao
- Scopus AuthorID:
6506092892
Публикации (74)
Chinese public university patents during 2006–20: a comprehensive investigation and comparative study
2023 · ARTICLE · en
Promoting growth in patent activity was an important stated goal of China’s Medium- and Long-Term Plan for Science and Technology Development (2006–20), and it was a successful one. By the end of this ambitious blueprint, China had witnessed enormous growth in the number of granted patents, especially those granted to public universities. This vital role played by universities in technology innovation justifies further research on the role of academia with respect to the development of technology. However, most studies on patenting by Chinese universities are limited in terms of research scale and context, and patent performance is seldom investigated in great detail. This study first presents an overall analysis of the utility patents granted to Chinese public universities (not utility model patents). Then, we compare the patent performance of two elite university groups: Project 985 universities in China and member institutions of the Association of American Universities (AAU) in the USA. Our results show that Chinese universities account for a high proportion of the total patents granted in China, and the number of patents granted to universities has grown rapidly in recent decades, making them a very substantial contributor to China’s innovation system. However, the value of patents did not improve as their counts surged. Compared to AAU universities, the technological and economic value of patents held by Project 985 universities is considerably lower, even for the top-patenting universities in China. These findings extend our understanding of technological innovation activity in China’s academic landscape and might inspire future policies toward patent quality and impact.
The theory of technological response and progress in chaos
2023 · ARTICLE · en
Purpose This study aims to develop the first Theory of Technological Response and Progress in Chaos (TRPC) and examine the case of technological development during the COVID-19 pandemic. The research objectives of this study were to: identify the key technologies that act as a response mechanism during the chaos event, specifically in the case of COVID-19; examine how technologies evolve, develop and diffuse in an immediate crisis and a chaotic environment; theorise various types and periods of technological response and progress during the emergence of chaos and the stages that unfold; and develop policy-oriented recommendations and establish technological foundations to address subsequent chaos events. Design/methodology/approach This study used the grounded theory as a methodology with a mixed-method approach that included quantitative and qualitative methods. The authors used the quantitative method to assist with the qualitative step to build the TRPC theory. Accordingly, this study integrated machine learning and text mining approaches to the qualitative data analysis following the steps of the grounded theory approach. Findings As a result of the TRPC theory development process, the authors identified three types of technologies (survival, essential and enhancement technologies) and five types of periods (stable, initial, survival-dominant, essential-dominant and enhancement-dominant periods) that are specific to chaos-technology interactions. The policy implications of this study demonstrate that a required technological base and know-how must be established before a chaotic event emerges. Research limitations/implications Concerning the limitations of this study, social media data has advantages over other data sources, such as the examination of dynamic areas and analyses of immediate responses to chaos. However, other researchers can examine publications and patent sources to augment the findings concerning scientific approaches and new inventions in relation to COVID-19 and other chaos-specific developments. The authors developed the TRPC theory by studying the COVID-19 pandemic, however, other researchers can utilise it to study other chaos-related conditions, such as chaotic events that are caused by natural disasters. Other scholars can investigate the technological response and progress pattern in other rapidly emerging chaotic events of an uncertain and complex nature to augment these findings. Practical implications Following the indications of the OECD (2021a) and considering the study conducted by the European Parliamentary Research Service (Kritikos, 2020), the authors identified the key technologies that are significant for chaos and COVID-19 response using machine learning and text intelligence approach. Accordingly, the authors mapped all technological developments using clustering approaches, and examined the technological progress within the immediate chaos period using social media data. Social implications The key policy implication of this study concerns the need for policymakers to develop policies that will help to establish the required technological base and know-how before chaos emerges. As a result, a rapid response can be implemented to mitigate the chaos and transform it into a competitive advantage. The authors also revealed that this recommendation overlaps with the model of dynamic capabilities in the literature (Teece and Pisano, 2003). Furthermore, this study recommends that nations and organisations establish a technological base that specifically includes technologies that bear 3A characteristics. These are the most crucial technologies for the survival- and essential-dominant stages. Moreover, the results of this study demonstrate that chaos accelerates technological progress through the rapid adoption and diffusion of technologies into different fields. Hence, nations and organisations should regard this rapid progress as an opportunity and establish the prior knowledge base and technologies before chaos emerges. Originality/value The authors have contributed to the chaos studies and the relationship between chaos and technological development by establishing the first theoretical foundation using the grounded theory approach, hereafter referred to as the TRPC theory. As part of the TRPC theory, the authors present three periods of technological response in the following sequence: survival technology, essential technology and enhancement technology. Moreover, this study illustrates the evolving technological importance and priorities as the periods of technological progress proceed under rapidly developing chaos.
The evolution of Foresight: What evidence is there in scientific publications?
2022 · ARTICLE · en
This study examines the recent evolution of Foresight as a well-recognized tool for long-term policy and strategy making and discusses the future directions the activity might take. The science mapping approach is used for the analysis. Drawing on big data, science mapping provides an evolutionary overview of scientific domains across time and helps to identify patterns showing the research agenda and directions of development of those domains. In the present study, we demonstrate the use of the science mapping approach with the case of the Foresight field. The results of our analysis confirm earlier academic studies on the evolution of Foresight; hence show the validity of the science mapping approach. Besides demonstrating the evolution of the field with the scientific publications in the last couple of decades, the study seeks scientific evidence for the next generations of Foresight to emerge towards the 2030s.
COVID-19 and the Society: Socio-economic Perspectives on the Impact, Implications, and Challenges
2022 · BOOK · en
This timely book presents a collection of expert insights into the impacts of COVID-19 in a broader socio-economic context. In each chapter, the authors identify the current impact of COVID-19 by demonstrating transformative signals and project these signals to the future by considering their alternative futures and implications. The book emphasizes that dealing with major global pandemics like COVID-19 requires all countries and regions to take different, but synchronized measures to decrease its socio-economic effects in the short, medium and long run. The consequences of COVID-19 will go beyond medicine to cover all other aspects of life and are bound to change the nature of organizations. Moving beyond the medical viewpoint, the experts in this book discuss the topic from multi-dimensional and multi-disciplinary angles by focusing on the domains of technology, business, finance, marketing, law, public administration, and education.
COVID-19 and Society. Socio-Economic Perspectives on the Impact, Implications, and Challenges
2022 · BOOK · en
This timely book presents a collection of expert insights into the impacts of COVID-19 in a broader socio-economic context. In each chapter, the authors identify the current impact of COVID-19 by demonstrating transformative signals and project these signals to the future by considering their alternative futures and implications. The book emphasizes that dealing with major global pandemics like COVID-19 requires all countries and regions to take different, but synchronized measures to decrease its socio-economic effects in the short, medium and long run. The consequences of COVID-19 will go beyond medicine to cover all other aspects of life and are bound to change the nature of organizations. Moving beyond the medical viewpoint, the experts in this book discuss the topic from multi-dimensional and multi-disciplinary angles by focusing on the domains of technology, business, finance, marketing, law, public administration, and education.
Big data augmentated business trend identification: the case of mobile commerce
2021 · ARTICLE · en
Identifying and monitoring business and technological trends are crucial for innovation and competitiveness of businesses. Exponential growth of data across the world is invaluable for identifying emerging and evolving trends. On the other hand, the vast amount of data leads to information overload and can no longer be adequately processed without the use of automated methods of extraction, processing, and generation of knowledge. There is a growing need for information systems that would monitor and analyse data from heterogeneous and unstructured sources in order to enable timely and evidence-based decision-making. Recent advancements in computing and big data provide enormous opportunities for gathering evidence on future developments and emerging opportunities. The present study demonstrates the use of text-mining and semantic analysis of large amount of documents for investigating in business trends in mobile commerce (m-commerce). Particularly with the on-going COVID-19 pandemic and resultant social isolation, m-commerce has become a large technology and business domain with ever growing market potentials. Thus, our study begins with a review of global challenges, opportunities and trends in the development of m-commerce in the world. Next, the study identifies critical technologies and instruments for the full utilization of the potentials in the sector by using the intelligent big data analytics system based on in-depth natural language processing utilizing text-mining, machine learning, science bibliometry and technology analysis. The results generated by the system can be used to produce a comprehensive and objective web of interconnected technologies, trends, drivers and barriers to give an overview of the whole landscape of m-commerce in one business intelligence (BI) data mart diagram.
Prospectiva para Ciencia, Tecnologia e Inovacao
2021 · BOOK · pt
This book sets out to draw out the key lessons from the experience of the last few decades. It will focus particularly on Foresight dealing with Science, Technology and Innovation (ForSTI—Foresight for STI). The meaning of these terms will need to be spelled out in more detail, but at this point we shall note that the STI field is one where longer-term analyses are of considerable importance for stakeholders of all kinds. The aim of this book is to help provide guidance to practitioners, wouldbe practitioners, and users of ForSTI, as to how activities may be planned, implemented, interpreted, and applied.
IdeaChain: a conceptual proposal for blockchain-based STI policy development
2020 · ARTICLE · en
Purpose The purpose of this study is to discuss the possibility of setting up a platform for inclusive policymaking process drawing upon the blockchain concept. The study posits that blockchain also has great potentials in non-financial applications, such as in policymaking, where there is a need for bottom-up approaches with more decentralized, distributed and evidence-based processes. Design/methodology/approach The study makes use of an analogy-based creative design methodology. The design science paradigm has its roots in engineering and the sciences of the artificial (Simon, 1996). As a problem-solving paradigm for solving complex engineering issues, design science seeks to create innovations that define the ideas, practices, technical capabilities and products through which the analysis, design, implementation and use of information systems can be effectively and efficiently accomplished. In the present study, the policy development theories and the logic of blockchain are synthesized to prepare a task model for the “IdeaChain” concept as a platform for creating, sharing and validating novel ideas as well as converting them into policies or new ventures through the funding mechanisms. Findings The IdeaChain concept is designed and demonstrated through its use in the domain of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy, which can be extended to cover all innovative activities linking the whole process from their emergence, funding, development, implementation and impact upon policy. Originality/value Blockchain is mostly discussed in literature with its impact on financial sector. IdeaChain is the first attempt to explore the potentials of blockchain in STI policymaking.
A Transition Management Roadmap for Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)
2019 · ARTICLE · en
Fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) have been considered as the future vision for the automotive industry. An increasing number of concepts and prototypes have been introduced in the last decade. In parallel with the technological development, recent discussions about global warming and climate change bring public support for emission free vehicles. Despite of the advancements and support, the speed of introduction of FCEVs is still not at the desirable levels. From a transition management perspective, the present paper seeks to answer the underlying factors behind the implementation of the FCEVs. The discussion goes beyond a technical one to cover broad factors and interests of stakeholders with an ‘eagle-eye view’. Following a discussion the key drivers of change for the FCEV sector and wild cards with disruptive effects, the paper proposes a strategic roadmap template to set an agenda for a successful transition towards FCEVs.
Курсы (3)
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Applied Foresight · 4 раза
2025/2026, 2024/2025, 2023/2024, 2022/2023 · Магистратура / Маго-лего · Анг
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Foresight Theory and Concepts
2022/2023 · Магистратура · Анг
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Foresight
2021/2022 · Магистратура · Анг